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HBAR Rebounds as Selling Pressure Drops 88%, Eyes $0.25 Resistance

3 minOctober 13, 2025

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HBAR surged after a sharp drop in selling pressure, raising hopes that the token could soon test the $0.25 mark.

Key Takeaways:

  • Exchange inflows for HBAR have plunged ~88%, indicating a cooldown in selling pressure.
  • Technicals suggest a possible breakout, showing RSI bullish divergence and a close above resistance ($0.22) that could spark further gains.
  • Falling below $0.16 would undercut the rebound, with support zones nearer $0.14–$0.16 in play.

Hedera’s native token HBAR is showing signs of renewed strength after the recent broader crypto market crash last October 10, 2025. On-chain data indicates that exchange inflows, tokens sent to crypto exchanges typically for selling, have dropped sharply by about 88%, from nearly $4.43 million to around $517,000, according to data shared by BeInCrypto.

HBAR spot exchange inflows slow sharply, easing immediate selling pressure

HBAR spot exchange inflows slow, suggesting easing near-term sell pressure. Source: CoinGlass

This steep decline suggests that many investors have stopped transferring their holdings to exchanges, easing liquidity pressure and hinting at growing market confidence.

Institutional Activity and Technical Signals Support the Bounce

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator has turned positive at around +0.10, suggesting that institutional wallets and larger holders are once again accumulating HBAR. At the same time, the Money Flow Index (MFI) shows muted retail involvement, indicating that the rebound so far has been largely institution-driven rather than retail-fueled.

HBAR CMF around +0.10 indicates renewed accumulation pressure

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) pulled back to 0.10, indicating that HBAR accumulation shows signs of activity. Source: TradingView, BeInCrypto

Technically, HBAR’s chart shows a bullish RSI divergence, while the token’s price printed a lower low, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) formed a higher low, a classic sign that bearish momentum is weakening. If HBAR breaks above its immediate resistance at $0.22, analysts suggest a potential move toward $0.25, or even $0.30 in an extended rally.

Bullish RSI divergence on HBAR’s daily chart

Bullish divergence on HBAR’s 1D chart signals weakening bearish momentum.

However, failure to hold support around $0.16 could undercut the recovery narrative and send the token back to the $0.14–$0.16 zone, a historically strong demand area.

HBAR Strengthens Amid Broad Altcoin Recovery

As of this writing (8:40AM UTC), HBAR is trading at approximately $0.1887, up 9.7% over the past 24 hours according to CoinGecko. The token peaked $0.1895 in the day, and reached intraday lows around $0.1691. Trading volume has climbed moderately, reflecting growing participation from short-term traders and swing investors.

In technical perspective, RSI divergence signals potential trend reversal. Also, CMF is still in the positive area of the chart, which confirms capital inflows. Lastly, HBAR’s 50-day EMA flattens, which is a potential early sign of trend stabilization.

Outlook: HBAR Gains Traction, Crucial Tests Loom

HBAR’s 88% drop in exchange inflows suggests that selling pressure has finally eased, providing space for buyers to step in. If accumulation continues and the market avoids another shock, HBAR could build on its current momentum and make a serious attempt at breaking $0.25 in the short term.

However, the recovery remains tentative. Traders will be closely watching whether HBAR can maintain its higher lows and sustain momentum above $0.18, a level that now acts as immediate support.

For now, HBAR appears to have caught its breath after a deep correction, giving bullish traders renewed optimism, but the path to $0.25 still depends on how long the current relief rally can last.

Summary

HBAR’s exchange inflows plunged ~88%, easing sell pressure. With RSI bullish divergence and CMF > 0, bulls have a window to push toward $0.22–$0.25 but losing $0.16 would likely reset the bounce toward the $0.14–$0.16 demand area.

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